Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Andrew Quarless
Andrew Quarless

Player breakdown

Andrew Quarless

Penn St. · 2010 Draft Class

6-4254 lbs5th round, 154th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~37
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

14%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2010GNB133332123811.3118.3
2011GNB10243361203.6
2013GNB161053323129.8219.5
2014GNB1611462932311.1320.2
2015GNB5154317.806.2
Career60271418994010.6615.7
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2006Penn StateBig Ten020286114.30
2007Penn StateBig Ten113200215.4200
2008Penn StateBig Ten1995110.695
2009Penn StateBig Ten241536313.1268
Career4831,117713.5279.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

14%

ML model output

Context Prob

14%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

112" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.620
Class YPR rank: top 25% — strong per-target efficiency+0.355
286.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.310

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+83) — improving trajectory-0.729
Speed × production: 56.8 — average combined athletic output-0.358
Reception rate trend-0.299

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)