Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Anthony Fasano
Anthony Fasano

Player breakdown

Anthony Fasano

Notre Dame · 2006 Draft Class

6-4259 lbs2nd round, 53rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~42
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

34%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2006DAL1652414126907.9
2007DAL165211414310.218.9
2008MIA1616533445413.4728.4
2009MIA1414533133910.9224.2
2010MIA1515603952813.5435.2
2011MIA1515543245114.1530.1
2012MIA161669413328.1520.8
2013KAN9933232008.7322.2
2014KAN151336252269415.1
2015TEN1611422628911.1218.1
2016TEN16101388310.425.2
2017MIA16716121078.916.7
Career1801364742993,27811.03618.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004Notre DameFBS Independents226354313.6177
2005Notre DameFBS Independents245564212.5282
Career471918512.9229.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

34%

ML model output

Context Prob

34%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

112" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.651
177.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.294
Reception rate trend+0.229

Top Negative Factors

188 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.560
Speed × production: 58.9 — average combined athletic output-0.375
Best season: 282.0 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling-0.285

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)