Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Austin Hooper
Austin Hooper

Player breakdown

Austin Hooper

Stanford · 2016 Draft Class

6-4254 lbs3rd round, 81st overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~31
Elite700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

83%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2016ATL143271927114.3319.4
2017ATL168654952610.7332.9
2018ATL16788716609.3441.3
2019ATL1310977578710.5660.5
2020CLE131370464359.5433.5
2021CLE161661383459.1321.6
2022TEN172604144410.8226.1
2023LVR17931252349.4013.8
2024NWE178594547610.6328
2025NWE166262126312.5216.4
Career155825844304,44110.33028.7
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2014StanfordPac-12113238501235
2015StanfordPac-121130405113.536.8
Career2262790112.735.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

83%

ML model output

Context Prob

83%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

117" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.653
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.07 — variable output+0.266
Speed × production: 41.5 — average combined athletic output+0.220

Top Negative Factors

1.59 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.356
35.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.328
Class YPR rank: top 57% — average per-target efficiency-0.309

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)