Player breakdown
Austin Seferian-Jenkins
Washington · 2014 Draft Class
6-5262 lbs2nd round, 38th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~33
HighJohn Mackey x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
72%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | TAM | 9 | 9 | 38 | 21 | 221 | 10.5 | 2 | 24.6 |
| 2015 | TAM | 7 | 3 | 39 | 21 | 338 | 16.1 | 4 | 48.3 |
| 2016 | 2TM | 9 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 154 | 11.8 | 1 | 17.1 |
| 2016 | TAM | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 44 | 14.7 | 1 | 22 |
| 2016 | NYJ | 7 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 110 | 11 | 0 | 15.7 |
| 2017 | NYJ | 13 | 10 | 74 | 50 | 357 | 7.1 | 3 | 27.5 |
| 2018 | JAX | 5 | 5 | 19 | 11 | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 18 |
| Career | 52 | 31 | 210 | 129 | 1,314 | 10.2 | 12 | 25.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Washington | Big Ten | 4 | 36 | 479 | 6 | 13.3 | 119.8 |
| 2012 | Washington | Big Ten | 6 | 69 | 852 | 7 | 12.3 | 142 |
| 2013 | Washington | Big Ten | 7 | 33 | 413 | 7 | 12.5 | 59 |
| Career | 17 | 138 | 1,744 | 20 | 12.6 | 102.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
47%
ML model output
Context Prob
47%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1,136 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.459
119.8 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.351
3.25 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.309
Top Negative Factors
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.375
Class YPR rank: top 50% — average per-target efficiency-0.337
Speed × production: 87.7 — strong combined athletic output-0.315