Player breakdown
Bear Pascoe
Fresno St. · 2009 Draft Class
6-5251 lbs6th round, 184th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~40
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
31%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | NYG | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 2.3 |
| 2010 | NYG | 15 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 72 | 8 | 0 | 4.8 |
| 2011 | NYG | 16 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 136 | 11.3 | 0 | 8.5 |
| 2012 | NYG | 15 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | 1 | 2.3 |
| 2013 | NYG | 16 | 6 | 20 | 12 | 81 | 6.8 | 0 | 5.1 |
| 2014 | ATL | 16 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Career | 82 | 34 | 61 | 40 | 336 | 8.4 | 2 | 4.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 0 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| 2006 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 0 | 22 | 307 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| 2007 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 0 | 39 | 481 | 4 | 12.3 | 0 |
| 2008 | Fresno State | Mountain West | 3 | 37 | 361 | 4 | 9.8 | 120.3 |
| Career | 3 | 101 | 1,173 | 10 | 11.6 | 391.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
31%
ML model output
Context Prob
31%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
107" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.578
Best season: 120.3 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling+0.301
120.3 volume-adjusted ypg — elite output relative to team pass rate+0.223
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+112 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.721
416 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.504
Reception rate trend-0.335