Player breakdown
Ben Koyack
Notre Dame · 2015 Draft Class
6-5255 lbs7th round, 229th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~33
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
8%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | JAX | 14 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 161 | 8.5 | 1 | 11.5 |
| 2017 | JAX | 16 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 7.6 | 0 | 2.4 |
| 2019 | JAX | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Career | 41 | 16 | 34 | 25 | 208 | 8.3 | 1 | 5.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 2012 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 0 | 3 | 39 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| 2013 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 3 | 9 | 158 | 3 | 17.6 | 52.7 |
| 2014 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 12 | 28 | 303 | 0 | 10.8 | 25.2 |
| Career | 15 | 41 | 505 | 3 | 12.3 | 33.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
8%
ML model output
Context Prob
8%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
-56.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.191
YPG ranked at 20th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.185
5.0 YPR in first season — average freshman efficiency+0.161
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+99) — improving trajectory-0.696
101 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.515
1.19 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.456