Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ben Sinnott
Ben Sinnott

Player breakdown

Ben Sinnott

Kansas St. · 2024 Draft Class

6-4250 lbs2nd round, 53rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~24
EliteAll-Conference x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

90%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2024WAS17255285.611.6
2025WAS163131111410.417.1
Career33518161428.924.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2021Kansas StateBig 12111101111
2022Kansas StateBig 121227393014.632.8
2023Kansas StateBig 121149679013.961.7
Career24771,083014.145.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

87%

ML model output

Context Prob

87%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

814 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.642
126" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.540
2.72 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.408

Top Negative Factors

11.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.329
Speed × production: 70.8 — strong combined athletic output-0.320
BMI 30.4 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (250 lbs)-0.252

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)