Player breakdown
Blake Bell
Oklahoma · 2015 Draft Class
6-6252 lbs4th round, 117th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~35
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
47%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | SFO | 14 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 186 | 12.4 | 0 | 13.3 |
| 2016 | SFO | 13 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 85 | 21.3 | 0 | 6.5 |
| 2017 | MIN | 13 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 0 | 1.5 |
| 2018 | JAX | 10 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 67 | 8.4 | 0 | 6.7 |
| 2019 | KAN | 15 | 7 | 15 | 8 | 67 | 8.4 | 0 | 4.5 |
| 2020 | DAL | 16 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 110 | 10 | 0 | 6.9 |
| 2021 | KAN | 16 | 5 | 13 | 9 | 87 | 9.7 | 0 | 5.4 |
| 2022 | KAN | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 6.7 |
| 2023 | KAN | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 26 | 5.2 | 1 | 1.5 |
| Career | 117 | 30 | 103 | 65 | 667 | 10.3 | 2 | 5.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7 | 14 | 209 | 3 | 14.9 | 29.9 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
47%
ML model output
Context Prob
47%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
116" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.547
Class YPR rank: top 20% — elite per-target efficiency+0.349
Flat production across college career+0.204
Top Negative Factors
250 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.423
0.83 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.355
29.9 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.337