Player breakdown
Brad Cottam
Tennessee · 2008 Draft Class
6-7270 lbs3rd round, 76th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~41
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
19%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | KAN | 16 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 3.9 |
| 2009 | KAN | 8 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 120 | 13.3 | 0 | 15 |
| Career | 24 | 8 | 26 | 16 | 183 | 11.4 | 0 | 7.6 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Tennessee | SEC | 0 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 17 | 0 |
| 2006 | Tennessee | SEC | 0 | 13 | 157 | 0 | 12.1 | 0 |
| 2007 | Tennessee | SEC | 0 | 4 | 94 | 0 | 23.5 | 0 |
| Career | 0 | 19 | 285 | 0 | 15.0 | 0.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
19%
ML model output
Context Prob
19%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Class YPR rank: top 0% — elite per-target efficiency+0.364
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.02 — variable output+0.249
Efficiency consistency: 1.13 — highly consistent across seasons+0.236
Top Negative Factors
209 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.409
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.386
0.58 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.385