Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Brandon Pettigrew
Brandon Pettigrew

Player breakdown

Brandon Pettigrew

Oklahoma St. · 2009 Draft Class

6-5263 lbs1st round, 20th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~41
High700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

73%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2009DET1111543034611.5231.5
2010DET16161117172210.2445.1
2011DET1616126837779.4548.6
2012DET1411102595679.6340.5
2013DET1414634141610.1229.7
2014DET149151070705
2015DET88157679.618.4
Career93854863012,9659.91731.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2005Oklahoma StateBig 12111128111.6128
2006Oklahoma StateBig 12320245412.281.7
2007Oklahoma StateBig 12432501415.7125.2
2008Oklahoma StateBig 12036421011.70
Career8991,295913.1161.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

73%

ML model output

Context Prob

73%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

118" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.631
128.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.369
Class YPR rank: top 29% — strong per-target efficiency+0.354

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+97) — improving trajectory-0.703
Reception rate trend-0.323
+97 avg yards/year growth — moderate development velocity-0.290

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)