Player breakdown
Brayden Willis
Oklahoma · 2023 Draft Class
6-4241 lbs7th round, 247th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~26
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
32%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | SFO | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | SFO | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 29 | 29 |
| 2019 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 8 | 9 | 163 | 0 | 18.1 | 20.4 |
| 2020 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 3 | 6 | 68 | 1 | 11.3 | 22.7 |
| 2021 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7 | 15 | 177 | 2 | 11.8 | 25.3 |
| 2022 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10 | 33 | 435 | 6 | 13.2 | 43.5 |
| Career | 29 | 64 | 872 | 9 | 13.6 | 30.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
32%
ML model output
Context Prob
32%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
117" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.521
Class YPR rank: top 13% — elite per-target efficiency+0.375
Reception rate trend+0.267
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+101 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.705
1.80 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.448
522 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.327