Player breakdown
Brent Celek
Cincinnati · 2007 Draft Class
5th round, 162nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~41
High700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
56%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | PHI | 16 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 178 | 11.1 | 1 | 11.1 |
| 2008 | PHI | 16 | 7 | 38 | 27 | 318 | 11.8 | 1 | 19.9 |
| 2009 | PHI | 16 | 15 | 112 | 76 | 971 | 12.8 | 8 | 60.7 |
| 2010 | PHI | 16 | 15 | 79 | 42 | 511 | 12.2 | 4 | 31.9 |
| 2011 | PHI | 16 | 16 | 98 | 62 | 811 | 13.1 | 5 | 50.7 |
| 2012 | PHI | 15 | 14 | 88 | 57 | 684 | 12 | 1 | 45.6 |
| 2013 | PHI | 16 | 15 | 51 | 32 | 502 | 15.7 | 6 | 31.4 |
| 2014 | PHI | 16 | 15 | 51 | 32 | 340 | 10.6 | 1 | 21.3 |
| 2015 | PHI | 16 | 13 | 35 | 27 | 398 | 14.7 | 3 | 24.9 |
| 2016 | PHI | 16 | 8 | 19 | 14 | 155 | 11.1 | 0 | 9.7 |
| 2017 | PHI | 16 | 10 | 24 | 13 | 130 | 10 | 1 | 8.1 |
| Career | 175 | 132 | 617 | 398 | 4,998 | 12.6 | 31 | 28.6 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 6 | 20 | 217 | 7 | 10.8 | 36.2 |
| 2005 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 0 | 32 | 361 | 3 | 11.3 | 0 |
| 2006 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | 3 | 31 | 460 | 3 | 14.8 | 153.3 |
| Career | 9 | 83 | 1,038 | 13 | 12.5 | 115.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
56%
ML model output
Context Prob
56%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Reception rate trend+0.290
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.210
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.177
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+121 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.592
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.421
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.366