Player breakdown
Brenton Strange
Penn St. · 2023 Draft Class
6-4253 lbs2nd round, 61st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
14%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | JAX | 14 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 2.5 |
| 2024 | JAX | 17 | 10 | 53 | 40 | 411 | 10.3 | 2 | 24.2 |
| 2025 | JAX | 12 | 12 | 60 | 46 | 540 | 11.7 | 3 | 45 |
| Career | 43 | 26 | 122 | 91 | 986 | 10.8 | 6 | 22.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | Penn State | Big Ten | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 2020 | Penn State | Big Ten | 6 | 13 | 133 | 0 | 10.2 | 22.2 |
| 2021 | Penn State | Big Ten | 9 | 20 | 245 | 0 | 12.2 | 27.2 |
| 2022 | Penn State | Big Ten | 11 | 28 | 338 | 0 | 12.1 | 30.7 |
| Career | 27 | 62 | 720 | 0 | 11.6 | 26.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
14%
ML model output
Context Prob
14%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
124" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.588
Reception rate trend+0.273
-63.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.189
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+111 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.697
450 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.496
1.34 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.445