Player breakdown
Brevin Jordan
Miami (FL) · 2021 Draft Class
6-2247 lbs5th round, 147th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~26
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
46%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | HOU | 9 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 178 | 8.9 | 3 | 19.8 |
| 2022 | HOU | 11 | 3 | 28 | 14 | 128 | 9.1 | 0 | 11.6 |
| 2023 | HOU | 14 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 219 | 12.9 | 2 | 15.6 |
| 2024 | HOU | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | 3.5 |
| Career | 36 | 12 | 80 | 53 | 532 | 10.0 | 5 | 14.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Miami | ACC | 8 | 28 | 233 | 0 | 8.3 | 29.1 |
| 2019 | Miami | ACC | 9 | 35 | 495 | 1 | 14.1 | 55 |
| 2020 | Miami | ACC | 7 | 30 | 480 | 0 | 16 | 68.6 |
| Career | 24 | 93 | 1,208 | 1 | 13.0 | 50.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
46%
ML model output
Context Prob
46%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
116" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.640
Reception rate trend+0.250
-40.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.185
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+123 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.597
29.1 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.332
Class YPR rank: top 40% — strong per-target efficiency-0.274