Player breakdown
Brock Bowers
Georgia · 2024 Draft Class
6-3243 lbs1st round, 13th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~23
EliteJohn Mackey x2All-American x2All-Conference x3700+ Receiving
Major awards: 7Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
84%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | LVR | 17 | 16 | 153 | 112 | 1,194 | 10.7 | 5 | 70.2 |
| 2025 | LVR | 12 | 8 | 86 | 64 | 680 | 10.6 | 7 | 56.7 |
| Career | 29 | 24 | 239 | 176 | 1,874 | 10.6 | 12 | 64.6 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Georgia | SEC | 12 | 46 | 773 | 0 | 16.8 | 64.4 |
| 2022 | Georgia | SEC | 13 | 51 | 653 | 0 | 12.8 | 50.2 |
| 2023 | Georgia | SEC | 10 | 56 | 712 | 0 | 12.7 | 71.2 |
| Career | 35 | 153 | 2,138 | 0 | 14.0 | 61.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
71%
ML model output
Context Prob
71%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1,030 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.470
Class YPR rank: top 17% — elite per-target efficiency+0.388
3.18 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.322
Top Negative Factors
64.4 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact-0.426
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.380
81.5 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.261