Player breakdown
Brycen Hopkins
Purdue · 2020 Draft Class
6-4245 lbs4th round, 136th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~29
EliteMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
91%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | LAR | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1.8 |
| 2022 | LAR | 14 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 109 | 15.6 | 0 | 7.8 |
| 2023 | LAR | 15 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 78 | 15.6 | 0 | 5.2 |
| Career | 34 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 196 | 15.1 | 0 | 5.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Purdue | Big Ten | 6 | 10 | 183 | 0 | 18.3 | 30.5 |
| 2017 | Purdue | Big Ten | 9 | 18 | 229 | 0 | 12.7 | 25.4 |
| 2018 | Purdue | Big Ten | 11 | 32 | 564 | 0 | 17.6 | 51.3 |
| 2019 | Purdue | Big Ten | 11 | 61 | 830 | 3 | 13.6 | 75.5 |
| Career | 37 | 121 | 1,806 | 3 | 14.9 | 48.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
91%
ML model output
Context Prob
91%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1,106 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.653
116" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.591
3.39 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.389
Top Negative Factors
Speed × production: 86.2 — strong combined athletic output-0.321
30.5 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.320
BMI 29.8 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (245 lbs)-0.250