Player breakdown
Cade Stover
Ohio St. · 2024 Draft Class
6-4247 lbs4th round, 123rd overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~26
EliteMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
81%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | HOU | 15 | 9 | 22 | 15 | 133 | 8.9 | 1 | 8.9 |
| 2025 | HOU | 9 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 76 | 6.3 | 0 | 8.4 |
| Career | 24 | 16 | 38 | 27 | 209 | 7.7 | 1 | 8.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 5 | 5 | 76 | 0 | 15.2 | 15.2 |
| 2022 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 12 | 35 | 399 | 5 | 11.4 | 33.2 |
| 2023 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 9 | 40 | 575 | 5 | 14.4 | 63.9 |
| Career | 26 | 80 | 1,050 | 10 | 13.1 | 40.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
81%
ML model output
Context Prob
81%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
766 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.628
117" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.542
2.33 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.394
Top Negative Factors
Speed × production: 60.8 — strong combined athletic output-0.373
15.2 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.324
BMI 30.1 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (247 lbs)-0.255