Player breakdown
Caleb Lohner
Utah · 2025 Draft Class
6-8235 lbs7th round, 241st overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~25
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
42%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Utah | Big 12 | 4 | 4 | 54 | 4 | 13.5 | 13.5 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
42%
ML model output
Context Prob
42%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Class YPR rank: top 19% — elite per-target efficiency+0.387
YPG ranked at 12th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.190
Flat production across college career+0.186
Top Negative Factors
64 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.421
0.23 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.384
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.352