Player breakdown
Caleb Wilson
UCLA · 2019 Draft Class
6-4240 lbs7th round, 254th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~30
EliteMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
84%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 8 | 16 | 220 | 0 | 13.8 | 27.5 |
| 2017 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 5 | 38 | 490 | 0 | 12.9 | 98 |
| 2018 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 10 | 57 | 946 | 2 | 16.6 | 94.6 |
| Career | 23 | 111 | 1,656 | 2 | 14.9 | 72.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
84%
ML model output
Context Prob
84%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1,072 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.645
113" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.583
3.94 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.383
Top Negative Factors
27.5 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.330
Speed × production: 105.0 — elite combined athletic output-0.323
81.6 alt. conference-adjusted ypg — cross-conference production comparison-0.253