Player breakdown
Carsen Ryan
BYU · 2026 Draft Class
6-4250 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
19%
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 3 | 7 | 102 | 0 | 14.6 | 34 |
| 2023 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 7 | 12 | 184 | 1 | 15.3 | 26.3 |
| 2024 | Utah | Big 12 | 5 | 10 | 113 | 1 | 11.3 | 22.6 |
| 2025 | BYU | Big 12 | 13 | 44 | 581 | 2 | 13.2 | 44.7 |
| Career | 28 | 73 | 980 | 4 | 13.4 | 35.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
19%
ML model output
Context Prob
19%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Class YPR rank: top 21% — strong per-target efficiency+0.398
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.183
Catch radius: 0.0 — limited physical reach envelope+0.157
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+159 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.527
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.419
44.7 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.418