Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Charles Davis
Charles Davis

Player breakdown

Charles Davis

Purdue · 2006 Draft Class

6-5263 lbs5th round, 167th overallAge: ~40
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

49%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004PurdueBig Ten231399212.9199.5
2005PurdueBig Ten126311112311
Career357710312.5236.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

49%

ML model output

Context Prob

49%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

108" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.664
199.5 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.291
Reception rate trend+0.250

Top Negative Factors

1.52 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.331
Class YPR rank: top 53% — average per-target efficiency-0.310
Best season: 311.0 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling-0.275

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)