Player breakdown
Chris Gragg
Arkansas · 2013 Draft Class
6-3244 lbs7th round, 222nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~36
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
12%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | BUF | 9 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 53 | 10.6 | 1 | 5.9 |
| 2014 | BUF | 10 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 6.9 | 1 | 4.8 |
| 2015 | BUF | 13 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 150 | 12.5 | 0 | 11.5 |
| Career | 32 | 10 | 37 | 24 | 251 | 10.5 | 2 | 7.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | Arkansas | SEC | 0 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 25 | 0 |
| 2010 | Arkansas | SEC | 2 | 7 | 155 | 2 | 22.1 | 77.5 |
| 2011 | Arkansas | SEC | 2 | 40 | 492 | 2 | 12.3 | 246 |
| 2012 | Arkansas | SEC | 2 | 22 | 289 | 3 | 13.1 | 144.5 |
| Career | 6 | 70 | 961 | 7 | 13.7 | 160.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
12%
ML model output
Context Prob
12%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
125" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.578
Class YPR rank: top 19% — elite per-target efficiency+0.354
Efficiency consistency: 1.82 — highly consistent across seasons+0.238
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+88) — improving trajectory-0.729
Speed × production: 58.5 — average combined athletic output-0.351
25.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.345