Predicting the Pros
Predictions/C.J. Fiedorowicz
C.J. Fiedorowicz

Player breakdown

C.J. Fiedorowicz

Iowa · 2014 Draft Class

6-5265 lbs3rd round, 65th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~34
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

7%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2014HOU1587428711.9
2015HOU161424171679.8110.4
2016HOU1515895455910.4437.3
2017HOU5522141279.1025.4
Career5142142898819.9617.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2011IowaBig Ten21214421272
2012IowaBig Ten14543319.6433
2013IowaBig Ten62625369.742.2
Career983830910.092.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

7%

ML model output

Context Prob

7%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

116" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.601
Efficiency consistency: 1.20 — highly consistent across seasons+0.241
Speed × production: 44.7 — average combined athletic output+0.190

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+54) — improving trajectory-0.732
72.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact-0.465
1.63 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.393

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)