Player breakdown
Clay Harbor
Missouri State · 2010 Draft Class
4th round, 125th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
7%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | PHI | 9 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 72 | 8 | 1 | 8 |
| 2011 | PHI | 16 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 163 | 12.5 | 1 | 10.2 |
| 2012 | PHI | 14 | 9 | 39 | 25 | 186 | 7.4 | 2 | 13.3 |
| 2013 | JAX | 16 | 7 | 35 | 24 | 292 | 12.2 | 2 | 18.3 |
| 2014 | JAX | 13 | 8 | 35 | 26 | 289 | 11.1 | 1 | 22.2 |
| 2015 | JAX | 15 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 149 | 10.6 | 1 | 9.9 |
| 2016 | DET | 12 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 0 | 1.6 |
| Career | 95 | 38 | 166 | 114 | 1,170 | 10.3 | 8 | 12.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Missouri State | MVFC | 1 | 6 | 73 | 1 | 12.2 | 73 |
| 2007 | Missouri State | MVFC | 4 | 45 | 647 | 3 | 14.4 | 161.8 |
| 2008 | Missouri State | MVFC | 2 | 40 | 457 | 2 | 11.4 | 228.5 |
| Career | 7 | 91 | 1,177 | 6 | 12.9 | 168.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
7%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Reception rate trend+0.273
Strong ascending production slope (+192 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time+0.206
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.174
Top Negative Factors
215 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.562
0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.436
73.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact-0.426