Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Colby Parkinson
Colby Parkinson

Player breakdown

Colby Parkinson

Stanford · 2020 Draft Class

4th round, 133rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~27
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

29%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2020SEA602216802.7
2021SEA14185336.602.4
2022SEA172342532212.9218.9
2023SEA17134252479.9214.5
2024LAR17949302949.8117.3
2025LAR151056434089.5827.2
Career86231831301,32010.21315.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2017StanfordPac-126109709.716.2
2018StanfordPac-121127453016.841.2
2019StanfordPac-121148589012.353.5
Career28851,139013.440.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

29%

ML model output

Context Prob

29%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Reception rate trend+0.286
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.175
Vertical jump not recorded at combine+0.162

Top Negative Factors

0.00 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.461
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.377
Class YPR rank: top 45% — average per-target efficiency-0.344

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)