Player breakdown
Cole Kmet
Notre Dame · 2020 Draft Class
6-6262 lbs2nd round, 43rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~27
Low700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
14%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | CHI | 16 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 243 | 8.7 | 2 | 15.2 |
| 2021 | CHI | 17 | 17 | 93 | 60 | 612 | 10.2 | 0 | 36 |
| 2022 | CHI | 17 | 17 | 69 | 50 | 544 | 10.9 | 7 | 32 |
| 2023 | CHI | 17 | 17 | 90 | 73 | 719 | 9.8 | 6 | 42.3 |
| 2024 | CHI | 17 | 16 | 55 | 47 | 474 | 10.1 | 4 | 27.9 |
| 2025 | CHI | 16 | 15 | 48 | 30 | 347 | 11.6 | 2 | 21.7 |
| Career | 100 | 91 | 399 | 288 | 2,939 | 10.2 | 21 | 29.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 1 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 14 |
| 2018 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 8 | 14 | 151 | 0 | 10.8 | 18.9 |
| 2019 | Georgia | SEC | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 2019 | Notre Dame | FBS Independents | 9 | 38 | 463 | 0 | 12.2 | 51.4 |
| Career | 19 | 55 | 632 | 0 | 11.5 | 33.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
14%
ML model output
Context Prob
14%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
123" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.576
Reception rate trend+0.278
Speed × production: 49.7 — average combined athletic output+0.193
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+149 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.551
154 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.524
1.77 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.445