Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Cole Turner
Cole Turner

Player breakdown

Cole Turner

Nevada · 2022 Draft Class

6-6246 lbs5th round, 149th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~26
HighAll-Conference x1Missed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

58%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2022WAS102922311.502.3
2023WAS121151112010.9010
Career223241314311.006.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2018NevadaMountain West112402424
2019NevadaMountain West333301111
2020NevadaMountain West844545012.468.1
2021NevadaMountain West1057635011.163.5
Career221051,237011.856.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

53%

ML model output

Context Prob

53%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

120" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.571
2.58 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.408
Reception rate trend+0.253

Top Negative Factors

Speed × production: 60.9 — strong combined athletic output-0.369
Class YPR rank: top 71% — average per-target efficiency-0.306
24.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.304

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)