Player breakdown
Colston Loveland
Michigan · 2025 Draft Class
6-6248 lbs1st round, 10th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~22
HighAll-Conference x1700+ Receiving
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
58%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | CHI | 16 | 11 | 82 | 58 | 713 | 12.3 | 6 | 44.6 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Michigan | Big Ten | 8 | 12 | 199 | 0 | 16.6 | 24.9 |
| 2023 | Michigan | Big Ten | 13 | 40 | 572 | 0 | 14.3 | 44 |
| 2024 | Michigan | Big Ten | 10 | 54 | 553 | 3 | 10.2 | 55.3 |
| Career | 31 | 106 | 1,324 | 3 | 12.5 | 42.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
39%
ML model output
Context Prob
39%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
762 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.609
2.31 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.376
Reception rate trend+0.279
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+177 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.457
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.409
Class YPR rank: top 38% — strong per-target efficiency-0.284