Player breakdown
Craig Stevens
California · 2008 Draft Class
6-3254 lbs3rd round, 85th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~42
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
27%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | TEN | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0.6 |
| 2009 | TEN | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2010 | TEN | 15 | 13 | 23 | 11 | 122 | 11.1 | 2 | 8.1 |
| 2011 | TEN | 15 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 166 | 18.4 | 1 | 11.1 |
| 2012 | TEN | 15 | 15 | 33 | 23 | 275 | 12 | 1 | 18.3 |
| 2013 | TEN | 15 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | 0.3 |
| 2014 | TEN | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 0 | 5.2 |
| 2015 | TEN | 16 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 121 | 10.1 | 2 | 7.6 |
| Career | 109 | 72 | 97 | 60 | 724 | 12.1 | 6 | 6.6 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | California | ACC | 1 | 4 | 61 | 1 | 15.2 | 61 |
| 2005 | California | ACC | 2 | 13 | 165 | 2 | 12.7 | 82.5 |
| 2006 | California | ACC | 1 | 16 | 213 | 1 | 13.3 | 213 |
| 2007 | California | ACC | 3 | 17 | 204 | 3 | 12 | 68 |
| Career | 7 | 50 | 643 | 7 | 12.9 | 91.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
27%
ML model output
Context Prob
27%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
114" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.579
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.250
Efficiency consistency: 1.19 — highly consistent across seasons+0.241
Top Negative Factors
61.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact-0.469
255 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.459
0.84 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.362