Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Crockett Gillmore
Crockett Gillmore

Player breakdown

Crockett Gillmore

Colorado St. · 2014 Draft Class

6-6260 lbs3rd round, 99th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~34
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

32%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2014BAL151151012112.118.1
2015BAL1010473341212.5441.2
2016BAL75148718.9110.1
Career3216765160411.8618.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2011Colorado StateMountain West545468410.493.6
2012Colorado StateMountain West219263213.8131.5
2013Colorado StateMountain West243533212.4266.5
Career91071,264811.8140.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

32%

ML model output

Context Prob

32%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

120" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.634
Reception rate trend+0.282
Speed × production: 48.5 — average combined athletic output+0.208

Top Negative Factors

Class YPR rank: top 60% — average per-target efficiency-0.309
Best season: 266.5 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling-0.294
461 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.287

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)