Player breakdown
Dallas Goedert
South Dakota St. · 2018 Draft Class
6-5256 lbs2nd round, 49th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~31
Elite700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
75%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | PHI | 16 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 334 | 10.1 | 4 | 20.9 |
| 2019 | PHI | 15 | 9 | 87 | 58 | 607 | 10.5 | 5 | 40.5 |
| 2020 | PHI | 11 | 9 | 65 | 46 | 524 | 11.4 | 3 | 47.6 |
| 2021 | PHI | 15 | 14 | 76 | 56 | 830 | 14.8 | 4 | 55.3 |
| 2022 | PHI | 12 | 12 | 69 | 55 | 702 | 12.8 | 3 | 58.5 |
| 2023 | PHI | 14 | 14 | 83 | 59 | 592 | 10 | 3 | 42.3 |
| 2024 | PHI | 10 | 10 | 52 | 42 | 496 | 11.8 | 2 | 49.6 |
| 2025 | PHI | 15 | 15 | 82 | 60 | 591 | 9.9 | 11 | 39.4 |
| Career | 108 | 91 | 558 | 409 | 4,676 | 11.4 | 35 | 43.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | South Dakota State | MVFC | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2015 | South Dakota State | MVFC | 1 | 2 | 49 | 0 | 24.5 | 49 |
| 2016 | South Dakota State | MVFC | 1 | 5 | 96 | 1 | 19.2 | 96 |
| Career | 3 | 8 | 154 | 1 | 19.3 | 51.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
75%
ML model output
Context Prob
75%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Class YPR rank: top 0% — elite per-target efficiency+0.388
Reception rate trend+0.286
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.02 — variable output+0.255
Top Negative Factors
32 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.424
0.38 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.409
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.359