Player breakdown
Dalton Schultz
Stanford · 2018 Draft Class
6-5244 lbs4th round, 137th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
High700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
74%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | DAL | 11 | 7 | 17 | 12 | 116 | 9.7 | 0 | 10.5 |
| 2019 | DAL | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0.4 |
| 2020 | DAL | 16 | 14 | 89 | 63 | 615 | 9.8 | 4 | 38.4 |
| 2021 | DAL | 17 | 15 | 104 | 78 | 808 | 10.4 | 8 | 47.5 |
| 2022 | DAL | 15 | 15 | 89 | 57 | 577 | 10.1 | 5 | 38.5 |
| 2023 | HOU | 15 | 8 | 88 | 59 | 635 | 10.8 | 5 | 42.3 |
| 2024 | HOU | 17 | 13 | 85 | 53 | 532 | 10 | 2 | 31.3 |
| 2025 | HOU | 17 | 6 | 106 | 82 | 777 | 9.5 | 3 | 45.7 |
| Career | 124 | 78 | 580 | 405 | 4,066 | 10.0 | 27 | 32.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 6 | 9 | 99 | 0 | 11 | 16.5 |
| 2016 | Rice | Conference USA | 1 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 24 | 24 |
| 2016 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 11 | 20 | 173 | 0 | 8.7 | 15.7 |
| 2017 | Arizona State | Pac-12 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 31 | 31 |
| 2017 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 10 | 18 | 156 | 1 | 8.7 | 15.6 |
| Career | 29 | 49 | 483 | 1 | 9.9 | 16.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
74%
ML model output
Context Prob
74%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
120" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.635
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.03 — variable output+0.264
Reception rate trend+0.253
Top Negative Factors
196 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.424
0.71 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.363
Class YPR rank: top 83% — average per-target efficiency-0.317