Player breakdown
Dan Gronkowski
Maryland · 2009 Draft Class
6-5255 lbs7th round, 255th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~41
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
9%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | DET | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| 2010 | DEN | 12 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 65 | 8.1 | 0 | 5.4 |
| Career | 14 | 4 | 16 | 9 | 69 | 7.7 | 0 | 4.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | Maryland | Big Ten | 0 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 18.5 | 0 |
| 2006 | Maryland | Big Ten | 1 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 5.5 | 11 |
| 2007 | Maryland | Big Ten | 0 | 7 | 66 | 0 | 9.4 | 0 |
| 2008 | Maryland | Big Ten | 0 | 29 | 287 | 3 | 9.9 | 0 |
| Career | 1 | 40 | 401 | 4 | 10.0 | 401.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
9%
ML model output
Context Prob
9%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
122" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.590
Efficiency consistency: 1.85 — highly consistent across seasons+0.242
4.00 TDs/game — dominant red-zone role in college+0.172
Top Negative Factors
Positive production trend (+83) — improving trajectory-0.723
382 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.498
37.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.443