Player breakdown
Daniel Bellinger
San Diego St. · 2022 Draft Class
6-5253 lbs4th round, 112th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~25
HighMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
62%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | NYG | 12 | 11 | 35 | 30 | 268 | 8.9 | 2 | 22.3 |
| 2023 | NYG | 17 | 13 | 28 | 25 | 255 | 10.2 | 0 | 15 |
| 2024 | NYG | 17 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 125 | 8.9 | 0 | 7.4 |
| 2025 | NYG | 16 | 10 | 26 | 19 | 286 | 15.1 | 2 | 17.9 |
| Career | 62 | 42 | 106 | 88 | 934 | 10.6 | 4 | 15.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 9 | 13 | 188 | 0 | 14.5 | 20.9 |
| 2020 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7 | 21 | 203 | 0 | 9.7 | 29 |
| 2021 | San Diego State | Mountain West | 7 | 24 | 206 | 0 | 8.6 | 29.4 |
| Career | 23 | 58 | 597 | 0 | 10.3 | 26.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
62%
ML model output
Context Prob
62%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
125" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.616
Reception rate trend+0.260
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.10 — variable output+0.254
Top Negative Factors
178 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.424
0.81 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.363
20.9 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.314