Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Daniel Hardy
Daniel Hardy

Player breakdown

Daniel Hardy

Idaho · 2011 Draft Class

6-4249 lbs7th round, 238th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~39
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

17%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2008IdahoBig Sky29128214.264
2009IdahoBig Sky339691317.7230.3
2010IdahoBig Sky132545117545
Career6801,364617.1227.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

17%

ML model output

Context Prob

17%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

2.78 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.375
Class YPR rank: top 0% — elite per-target efficiency+0.360
Reception rate trend+0.262

Top Negative Factors

230 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.554
64.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact-0.442
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.380

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)