Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Darnell Washington
Darnell Washington

Player breakdown

Darnell Washington

Georgia · 2023 Draft Class

6-7264 lbs3rd round, 93rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

23%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2023PIT177107618.703.6
2024PIT179251920010.5111.8
2025PIT1613433136411.7122.8
Career5029785762511.0212.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2020GeorgiaSEC3412003040
2021GeorgiaSEC79145016.120.7
2022GeorgiaSEC112641701637.9
Career2139682017.532.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

23%

ML model output

Context Prob

23%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

122" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.593
Class YPR rank: top 0% — elite per-target efficiency+0.351
Efficiency consistency: 1.72 — highly consistent across seasons+0.242

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+148 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.563
40.0 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.451
1.58 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.433

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)