Player breakdown
David Morgan
Texas-San Antonio · 2016 Draft Class
6-4262 lbs6th round, 188th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~33
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
33%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | MIN | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.3 |
| 2017 | MIN | 15 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 95 | 9.5 | 1 | 6.3 |
| 2018 | MIN | 11 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 7.2 | 0 | 3.3 |
| Career | 38 | 12 | 19 | 16 | 135 | 8.4 | 1 | 3.6 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | UT San Antonio | American Athletic | 0 | 7 | 69 | 0 | 9.9 | 0 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
33%
ML model output
Context Prob
33%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Reception rate trend+0.250
-47.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.181
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output+0.177
Top Negative Factors
377 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.541
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.402
36.4 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact-0.399