Predicting the Pros
Predictions/David Njoku
David Njoku

Player breakdown

David Njoku

Miami (FL) · 2017 Draft Class

6-4246 lbs1st round, 29th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~30
Elite700+ Receiving
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

82%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2017CLE165603238612.1424.1
2018CLE1614885663911.4439.9
2019CLE41105418.2110.3
2020CLE135291921311.2216.4
2021CLE1611533647513.2429.7
2022CLE1414805862810.8444.9
2023CLE16161238188210.9655.1
2024CLE111197645057.9545.9
2025CLE121148332938.9424.4
Career118885883844,06210.63434.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2015MiamiACC920361018.140.1
2016MiamiACC1138655017.259.5
Career20581,016017.550.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

82%

ML model output

Context Prob

82%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

786 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.630
133" broad jump — elite lower-body explosion+0.586
2.66 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.374

Top Negative Factors

40.1 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.453
Speed × production: 69.5 — strong combined athletic output-0.323
BMI 29.9 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (246 lbs)-0.245

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)