Player breakdown
David Thomas
Texas · 2006 Draft Class
6-3252 lbs3rd round, 86th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~43
HighMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
70%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | NWE | 15 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 159 | 14.5 | 1 | 10.6 |
| 2007 | NWE | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4.5 |
| 2008 | NWE | 15 | 10 | 17 | 9 | 93 | 10.3 | 0 | 6.2 |
| 2009 | NOR | 15 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 356 | 10.2 | 1 | 23.7 |
| 2010 | NOR | 13 | 8 | 46 | 30 | 219 | 7.3 | 2 | 16.8 |
| 2011 | NOR | 5 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 3.2 | 0 | 3.2 |
| 2012 | NOR | 15 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 86 | 7.8 | 4 | 5.7 |
| Career | 80 | 38 | 154 | 102 | 938 | 9.2 | 8 | 11.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Texas | SEC | 3 | 21 | 376 | 4 | 17.9 | 125.3 |
| 2005 | Texas | SEC | 4 | 40 | 525 | 5 | 13.1 | 131.2 |
| Career | 7 | 61 | 901 | 9 | 14.8 | 128.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
70%
ML model output
Context Prob
70%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
113" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.548
125.3 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.381
Class YPR rank: top 20% — elite per-target efficiency+0.353
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+149 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.590
Speed × production: 55.6 — average combined athletic output-0.380
700 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.263