Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Davis Allen
Davis Allen

Player breakdown

Davis Allen

Clemson · 2023 Draft Class

6-6245 lbs5th round, 175th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~25
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

18%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2023LAR1511110959.516.3
2024LAR155136396.502.6
2025LAR17533242088.7312.2
Career471157403428.647.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2019ClemsonACC5553010.610.6
2020ClemsonACC91319511521.7
2021ClemsonACC92619937.722.1
2022ClemsonACC1234362410.630.2
Career3578809810.423.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

18%

ML model output

Context Prob

18%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

125" broad jump — strong lower-body explosion+0.570
Reception rate trend+0.282
-67.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average+0.188

Top Negative Factors

Strong ascending production slope (+103 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.696
434 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.505
1.48 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.451

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)