Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Davon Drew
Davon Drew

Player breakdown

Davon Drew

East Carolina · 2009 Draft Class

6-4256 lbs5th round, 149th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~40
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

38%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2006East CarolinaAmerican Athletic316187311.762.3
2007East CarolinaAmerican Athletic219196210.398
2008East CarolinaAmerican Athletic338575315.1191.7
Career873958813.1119.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

38%

ML model output

Context Prob

38%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

113" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.606
Class YPR rank: top 24% — strong per-target efficiency+0.345
Reception rate trend+0.262

Top Negative Factors

191 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.547
62.3 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact-0.448
Speed × production: 56.4 — average combined athletic output-0.378

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)