Predicting the Pros
Predictions/D.C. Jefferson
D.C. Jefferson

Player breakdown

D.C. Jefferson

Rutgers · 2013 Draft Class

6-6255 lbs7th round, 219th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~37
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

19%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2009RutgersBig Ten05108021.60
2010RutgersBig Ten110166116.6166
2011RutgersBig Ten01110709.70
2012RutgersBig Ten12016818.4168
Career246549211.9274.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

19%

ML model output

Context Prob

19%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

108.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.318
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.03 — variable output+0.259
Efficiency consistency: 1.81 — highly consistent across seasons+0.233

Top Negative Factors

Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.425
224 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.422
0.66 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.349

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)