Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dedrick Epps
Dedrick Epps

Player breakdown

Dedrick Epps

Miami (FL) · 2010 Draft Class

6-3250 lbs7th round, 235th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~38
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

12%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2012NYJ30119903
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2007MiamiACC1883110.483
2008MiamiACC222304213.8152
2009MiamiACC31924731382.3
Career649634612.9105.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

12%

ML model output

Context Prob

12%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.247
Speed × production: 31.1 — average combined athletic output+0.193
10.4 YPR in first season — average freshman efficiency+0.171

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+82) — improving trajectory-0.712
364 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.476
83.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact-0.472

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)