Player breakdown
Dennis Pitta
BYU · 2010 Draft Class
6-4245 lbs4th round, 114th overallAge at Draft: 25Age: ~41
EliteAll-American x1700+ Receiving
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
88%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | BAL | 11 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 |
| 2011 | BAL | 16 | 2 | 56 | 40 | 405 | 10.1 | 3 | 25.3 |
| 2012 | BAL | 16 | 5 | 94 | 61 | 669 | 11 | 7 | 41.8 |
| 2013 | BAL | 4 | 1 | 33 | 20 | 169 | 8.5 | 1 | 42.3 |
| 2014 | BAL | 3 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 125 | 7.8 | 0 | 41.7 |
| 2016 | BAL | 16 | 12 | 121 | 86 | 729 | 8.5 | 2 | 45.6 |
| Career | 66 | 23 | 330 | 224 | 2,098 | 9.4 | 13 | 31.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | BYU | Big 12 | 1 | 17 | 176 | 2 | 10.4 | 176 |
| 2007 | BYU | Big 12 | 0 | 54 | 775 | 5 | 14.4 | 0 |
| 2008 | BYU | Big 12 | 4 | 78 | 1,025 | 6 | 13.1 | 256.2 |
| 2009 | BYU | Big 12 | 5 | 62 | 829 | 8 | 13.4 | 165.8 |
| Career | 10 | 211 | 2,805 | 21 | 13.3 | 280.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
88%
ML model output
Context Prob
88%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
1,230 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.650
113" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.579
4.18 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.363
Top Negative Factors
Speed × production: 104.7 — elite combined athletic output-0.318
Best season: 256.2 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling-0.289
256.2 volume-adjusted ypg — elite output relative to team pass rate-0.255