Player breakdown
Derek Fine
Kansas · 2008 Draft Class
6-3251 lbs4th round, 132nd overallAge at Draft: 25Age: ~43
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
18%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | BUF | 10 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 94 | 9.4 | 1 | 9.4 |
| 2009 | BUF | 8 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 64 | 7.1 | 0 | 8 |
| Career | 18 | 11 | 30 | 19 | 158 | 8.3 | 1 | 8.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Kansas | Big 12 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| 2005 | Kansas | Big 12 | 2 | 20 | 221 | 1 | 11.1 | 110.5 |
| 2006 | Kansas | Big 12 | 0 | 28 | 355 | 5 | 12.7 | 0 |
| 2007 | Kansas | Big 12 | 0 | 44 | 380 | 4 | 8.6 | 0 |
| Career | 2 | 94 | 972 | 10 | 10.3 | 486.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
18%
ML model output
Context Prob
18%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
115" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.567
Best season: 110.5 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling+0.267
110.5 volume-adjusted ypg — elite output relative to team pass rate+0.232
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+121 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.587
456 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.501
1.51 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.447