Player breakdown
Derek Schouman
Boise St. · 2007 Draft Class
7th round, 222nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~41
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
27%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | BUF | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| 2008 | BUF | 16 | 12 | 20 | 15 | 153 | 10.2 | 1 | 9.6 |
| 2009 | BUF | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 103 | 11.4 | 0 | 51.5 |
| Career | 21 | 15 | 34 | 27 | 275 | 10.2 | 1 | 13.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | Boise State | Mountain West | 1 | 12 | 231 | 2 | 19.2 | 231 |
| 2005 | Boise State | Mountain West | 1 | 16 | 168 | 1 | 10.5 | 168 |
| 2006 | Boise State | Mountain West | 2 | 21 | 204 | 3 | 9.7 | 102 |
| Career | 4 | 49 | 603 | 6 | 12.3 | 150.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
27%
ML model output
Context Prob
27%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Efficiency consistency: 1.56 — highly consistent across seasons+0.255
231.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.238
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.03 — variable output+0.233
Top Negative Factors
200 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.433
Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.377
Class YPR rank: top 56% — average per-target efficiency-0.351