Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Devin Culp
Devin Culp

Player breakdown

Devin Culp

Washington · 2024 Draft Class

6-3231 lbs7th round, 246th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~26
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

25%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2024TAM50658817.6017.6
2025TAM130116610.5
Career180769415.715.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2020WashingtonPac-12111501515
2021WashingtonPac-12819217111.427.1
2022WashingtonPac-12112523709.521.5
2023WashingtonPac-121014172012.317.2
Career3059641110.921.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

25%

ML model output

Context Prob

25%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Reception rate trend+0.247
Efficiency consistency: 1.38 — highly consistent across seasons+0.243
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.01 — variable output+0.241

Top Negative Factors

Positive production trend (+52) — improving trajectory-0.671
268 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.508
1.03 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.457

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)