Player breakdown
Dion Sims
Michigan St. · 2013 Draft Class
6-5262 lbs4th round, 106th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
9%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | MIA | 15 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 5.3 | 1 | 2.1 |
| 2014 | MIA | 14 | 2 | 36 | 24 | 284 | 11.8 | 2 | 20.3 |
| 2015 | MIA | 13 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 127 | 7.1 | 1 | 9.8 |
| 2016 | MIA | 14 | 11 | 35 | 26 | 256 | 9.8 | 4 | 18.3 |
| 2017 | CHI | 14 | 14 | 29 | 15 | 180 | 12 | 1 | 12.9 |
| 2018 | CHI | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | 1.1 |
| Career | 78 | 40 | 139 | 91 | 888 | 9.8 | 9 | 11.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3 | 11 | 133 | 3 | 12.1 | 44.3 |
| 2011 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3 | 12 | 99 | 3 | 8.2 | 33 |
| 2012 | Michigan State | Big Ten | 0 | 36 | 475 | 2 | 13.2 | 0 |
| Career | 6 | 59 | 707 | 8 | 12.0 | 117.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
9%
ML model output
Context Prob
9%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
112" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.583
Speed × production: 48.9 — average combined athletic output+0.191
YPG ranked at 27th percentile in draft class — average relative to peers+0.175
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+171 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.576
44.3 ypg as a freshman — solid first-year impact-0.456
1.81 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production-0.423