Player breakdown
D.J. Williams
Arkansas · 2011 Draft Class
6-2245 lbs5th round, 141st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~37
MediumMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
42%
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | GNB | 13 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 1 |
| 2012 | GNB | 13 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 57 | 8.1 | 0 | 4.4 |
| 2013 | 2TM | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2013 | JAX | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2013 | NWE | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 44 | 4 | 25 | 9 | 70 | 7.8 | 0 | 1.6 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | Arkansas | SEC | 0 | 5 | 94 | 0 | 18.8 | 0 |
| 2008 | Arkansas | SEC | 2 | 58 | 699 | 3 | 12.1 | 349.5 |
| 2009 | Arkansas | SEC | 3 | 32 | 411 | 3 | 12.8 | 137 |
| 2010 | Arkansas | SEC | 3 | 49 | 589 | 4 | 12 | 196.3 |
| Career | 8 | 144 | 1,793 | 10 | 12.5 | 224.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
42%
ML model output
Context Prob
42%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.854
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
932 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak+0.625
111" broad jump — average lower-body explosion+0.618
2.85 ypg per lb — average size-adjusted production+0.366
Top Negative Factors
Strong ascending production slope (+165 yards/yr) — still improving at draft time-0.441
Speed × production: 77.2 — strong combined athletic output-0.310
Best season: 349.5 ypg — elite 100+ ypg per-game ceiling-0.296