Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Dominique Byrd
Dominique Byrd

Player breakdown

Dominique Byrd

USC · 2006 Draft Class

6-3255 lbs3rd round, 93rd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~42
LowMissed 700+ Rec
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

26%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2006STL50323919.517.8
2007STL9054441104.9
Career140868313.815.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2004USCBig Ten13432629.6326
2005USCBig Ten0252740110
Career159600210.2600.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

26%

ML model output

Context Prob

26%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.854

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

326.0 ypg as a freshman — elite first-year impact+0.286
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.03 — variable output+0.245
Speed × production: 31.6 — average combined athletic output+0.189

Top Negative Factors

Broad jump not recorded at combine — missing explosive power data-0.414
434 conference-adjusted best-season yards — competition-normalized peak-0.391
Reception rate trend-0.347

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)